Understanding Breakaways in MLS

It seems like every weekend we catch a goalkeeper getting scored on in a 1v1 situation only to hear the commentator describe the play as "nothing he could do". For most, a goalkeeper that saves a breakaway attempt has done the same as saving a penalty kick. However Gary Neville has a different standard for goalkeepers in 1v1s.

Video should start at 4:37

Neville's comments are from almost two years ago, so it's not exactly new information, not to mention he's citing goalkeepers that date back to the 1980s. While he does name the EPL's top goalkeepers of all-time when setting his standard for goalkeeping, he still makes an interesting point for goalkeepers: the advantage is on your side. Goalkeepers should be tell the strikers "you beat me" and not giving them an easy out.

When looking at MLS's "best saves", it's no secret that extension saves are valued so highly within the league. MLS lauds goalkeepers for their athleticism and ability for clawing saves out of the top corners. Unfortunately there is a shortage of appreciation for goalkeepers who compose themselves in 1v1s. What qualifies a "good" save in a 1v1 and what are some common mistakes? I don't have stats on 1v1 situations - and if someone does I'd be glad to list them here - but for the most part there are three problems we see with MLS goalkeepers in 1v1 situations.

Approach

There are several intricate details within a goalkeeper's approach (angle play, starting position, noticing striker tendencies, etc) but specifically we are covering a goalkeeper's strategy and ability to control the situation. The most common tactic for MLS goalkeepers is to rush out as fast as they can and slide through the ball before the striker can get a shot off. This aggressive strategy can work as it cuts down the angle and can even intimidate a striker but there are situations where patience and staying on their feet is the correct choice. Luis Robles made a fantastic save against Cyle Larin back in July.

Robles realizes he will not reach the ball before Larin, which is well outside the box. Robles uses negative movement - shuffling backwards towards his own goal - to control the the play for a few reasons. First, he gives himself room to go forward in his own box. If he sits a top of the box, he risks a handball outside the box. Second, the pressure is now on Larin, instead of Robles. Robles only has to get set and react. If Larin takes a big touch, the situation defuses. If Larin tries to round Robles, a defender likely spoils the attempt for Larin. Robles also helps himself on saving the possible chip (by being able to continue going backwards if Larin decides to try it) but also removes the likelihood of a chip, which is typically seen as a last ditch effort by a striker. If Robles rushes out or tries to cut down the angle here, he only hurts himself in this situation. He makes the correct decision and ends up with the save, something most MLS goalkeepers would struggle with doing.

Let's look at a time when rushing out wasn't the preferred choice.

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Blake notices the obvious pass to Kaka, who is running into the middle of the 18, and tries to surprise Kaka by running out quickly. Kaka has his head originally turned away from goal and could be shocked by this if he was not Brazilian. Instead, Kaka takes a great turn on the ball. As Kaka notices Blake charging out, he starts to round him with his next touch. Blake throws on the brakes as quick as he can but ends up tripping Kaka and drawing the penalty. While you could argue that Kaka goes down easy, the problem from the goalkeeper's part is that Blake is out of control and hasn't assessed the situation correctly. There are three defenders in the area and Blake is by no means guaranteed the ball. For someone who is so good at extension saves, it would make sense for Blake to sit out of this one and try his hand with the shot from distance. If Blake shows a little more patience, he has a much greater chance of saving the shot.

Some more examples of this, if you're looking for them:

Timing

The second aspect of this is the reaction time of the goalkeeper. This is less about reflexes and more about being set, although both play a role. The previous point looking at the approach of a goalkeeper is centered around the mental game plan while this is referring to the physical preparation. Sometimes 1v1 saves incorporate both of these aspects. Sometimes only one, depending on the situation.

One of the easiest goalkeepers to beat is a moving goalkeeper. If they're carelessly charging forward or are just moving for moving's sake, there are a variety of options for a striker to put the ball in the back of the net. A good example of this can be found back in July, on Josh Saunders' first two conceded goals against New York Red Bulls. Highlights here or click on the pictures for a closer look.

On the first goal, Saunders is caught out of rhythm on the play. The shot is taken as he moves forward vertically, leaving him in the dust. While he is cutting down the angle by moving forward, he is doing so at the risk of not being able to break out horizontally, which is what the shot calls for. He never gets set and instead ends up flapping his limbs at a ball that really isn't that far from his body. As he is moving forward, he is alternating his weight on each step. This is fine as long as there is a final set position that evenly balances out his weight so he can step out or at least fall to one side. Instead, the shot is taken when Saunders is stepping forward with his left foot, which is why it ends up oddly in the air. If he limits his steps forward and gets set, he can make this save.

The second goal is not a 1v1 situation, but I wanted to highlight the problem of not being set or in rhythm with the shot. The header is taken about eight yards from goal but the screen shot is when Saunders finally gets his right foot planted. The ball is now 3-4 yards from goal and Saunders not only can't move in time, but is the recipient of the rarely seen dial up internet joke.

To be clear, there are times to sprint to attack the ball. If the striker is out of control or is close enough to goal, a goalkeeper needs to attack the ball. But there are also situations when a goalkeeper needs to stay on their feet. An incorrect, aggressive sprint at the ball causes two problems. First, the goalkeeper will put themselves in a bad situation that can lead to a penalty kick, a chip shot that easily trickles in, or to giving up a more favorable position in exchange for a less favorable. The movement needs to control the situation as much as possible, not result in conceding ground. Second, the excessive movement negates reactions and turns the goalkeeper into a moving wall. If the ball is not struck into it, the goalkeeper cannot extend out to make the save in time because he is moving so much.

Typically when a goalkeeper is moving too much, it is when he is running at the striker but goalkeepers can be moving too much laterally as well. The same principle applies that if a goalkeeper is moving too much to the side, he cannot get set for the shot. Frei falls victim of having too much lateral movement against Portland in July. He is crossing the goal mouth to get in the ideal spot for the shot, but he is so out of control that a skipped ball not far from the middle of the goal is unsaveable. If he controls his movement, he can cover both posts of goal more efficiently.

 

Body Shape

Goalkeeper guru Justin Bryant steps in to write about a goalkeeper's body shape to give us a historical perspective and observe the finer details of a proper slide. He writes the first three paragraphs while I provide an example to watch. Feel free to tweet at Justin with all your goalkeeper questions.

The common 1v1 goalkeeper tackle

The common 1v1 goalkeeper tackle

Bill Hamid with the spread leg Spanish K approach

Bill Hamid with the spread leg Spanish K approach

Goalkeeper body shape when dealing with 1v1 situations has undergone a dramatic evolution in the last decade-plus. A generation ago, most goalkeepers handled almost every 1v1 situation the same way: with a hands-first dive, in an attempt to smother, block, or claim the ball off the foot of an attacker. This can still be an effective technique when the attacker has taken a poor touch and the ball is there to be won; but when facing a composed opponent with the ball under control, it presents a very low barrier to the attacker, one which good players have little difficulty beating with a simple dink or chip. It also carries the significant risk of giving away a penalty if the goalkeeper fails to get a touch on the ball (although the recent change in the law means this is no longer an automatic sending-off). For me, the chief drawback is that it commits the goalkeeper to a single course of action, with no possibility to adjust, should the attacker take an extra touch or change direction.
 
In the 2000s, a generation of Spanish and Portuguese goalkeepers began popularizing a new way to handle 1v1s. The goalkeeper stays on their feet, advancing with small but fast steps, keeping the upper body upright while dropping the lower body close to the ground, with the hands in a blocking position to either side of the body. This technique, which originated in futsal, goes by various names, but I call it the Spanish K Barrier. Some call it the Starfish, but to me, this refers to the technique contrived by Peter Schmeichel when facing a point-blank shot: jumping and spreading all four limbs equally. This can be effective, too - Peter’s son Kasper does it well today, as does Joe Hart - but, again, it’s best used in point-blank shot situations, not when an attacker is advancing on goal with the ball under control.
 
The K Barrier’s two main advantages over the hands-first slide are that it presents a physically larger barrier to the attacker, and it gives the goalkeeper a chance to keep adjusting and improvising in the event the attacker tries to dribble, or the situation changes. By dropping the lower body but keeping the upper body upright, you take away the option of the easy chip/dink finish. A technique which keeps you on your feet also makes it far less likely you will give away a penalty, since there is no single ‘all or nothing’ moment of commitment, as there is with the hands-first slide. But it’s the ability to adjust, to improvise, and to ‘battle’ the attacker which makes makes me favor this technique. A goalkeeper who can use their feet to close space with the attacker, but keep enough distance between them to be an effective barrier and be able to react to a shot, all while remaining upright, is going to have an excellent success rate with 1v1s.

Bill Hamid and Steve Clark are MLS's largest proponents of the K Barrier. Here is Clark implementing the slide.

Clark does a wonderful job of avoiding any of the three common mistakes listed earlier. He reads the play well, seeing the striker is not going to hit it first time and will instead take a lengthy windup. Clark's movement is quick and in time with the shot. If the shooter is looking to round Clark or lay off, Clark can adjust as need be. The situation is lined up well for the goalkeeper to come straight at the ball and Clark makes the correct save on the play.

 

Conclusion

Most goals that are scored on a goalkeeper are ones they can do nothing about. They can be outnumbered in a counter, their defense can give up possession in a poor territory, a striker can make a phenomenal shot. The examples go on and on. But in the realm of breakaway situations, goalkeepers are actually empowered a great deal. It truly is a 1v1 and both sides have a their chance of executing their task. The goalkeeper actually has the benefit of not needing to make a save. They can force the shooter wide or stall out the play for added defenders. Every situation is different but for the most part, Gary Neville is right that elite goalkeepers should make more saves than concede goals. Tim Howard - USA's best 1v1 goalkeeper ever - was excellent at reading plays and knowing when to strike and when to hold his ground. It was not happenstance he reached this point. He simply was very intentional in beating the striker in the scenario.

I’ve got quite a simple theory on 1-on-1s, a goalkeeper should save seven or eight out of ten. The idea that every 1-on-1 that goes in the back of your net... we never hear someone say “it’s a goalkeeper error.” We always say “defenders let him run.” Oh course it’s a goalkeeping error, her should save the majority of them. The best goalkeepers, Schmeichel, van der Sar, Seaman, Neuer, save the majority of their 1-on-1s.
— Gary Neville

MLS goalkeepers, fans, and media alike are far too comfortable defaulting a 1v1 to the striker's favor. There are several factors that are in play that a goalkeeper can do to help his situation. A number of goals are too soft for goalkeepers, despite having no defenders in the surrounding area. Yes, breakaways are not ideal and the blame mostly goes to a defensive lapse, but a main component of a goalkeeper's job is being prepared in these scenarios. If the goalkeeper - or fan, or writer - is simply hoping the play just happens to work out in the goalkeeper's favor, they are not giving the goalkeeper enough responsibility for the outcome.

Santiago Castaño: Outstanding or Overrated?

Everybody Soccer is back with a second edition of "outstanding or overrated" after reviewing Bill Hamid's approach earlier this year. I had trouble thinking of a new title so here we are. Now it's a reoccurring theme.

Santiago Castaño is likely best known to US fans for his last minute switching to Colombia, just ahead of the 2015 U20 World Cup. Castaño had spent much time with the US's U20 program, predominantly as the backup to Zack Steffen. Even though he attended a Colombian camp ahead of the announcement, several fans were still shocked to hear his change of mind when he basically had a ticket punched to the 2015 U20 World Cup with the US. Even more confusing, he would not make the roster for Colombia and ended up being left at home by both countries. For more information about Castaño's switch, read this translated interview with Facundo Trotta.

Outside of the international stage, Castaño spent this year with New York Red Bulls II, earning twenty starts in the regular season and a trip to the quarterfinals, where they lost 2-0 to the eventual champions. Let's take a closer look at this last season to break down his strengths and weaknesses. US Prospects was kind enough to have made a highlight video for the Colombian-American goalkeeper back in April.

Strengths

Castaño possess a fierce mindset as well as quick reactions and above average distribution. He is not afraid to attack on a 1v1. He showcases an above average side volley and good throws from his hands. He strongly favors his left foot in kicking and generally knows how to locate a teammate in a positive space. He has good experience on the youth international stage and skipped the college route to join the New York Red Bulls, a system that has done good job of developing young goalkeepers.

Weaknesses

There are quite a few worrying issues with Castaño's play. First, while he is listed as 6'2", he most definitely is not. 

On the left, he is walking away form Mike da Font (6'0.5"). On the right, he is standing next to Konrad Plewa (6’3”) and Colin Heffron (6'0") is the blonde player the next one down. Castaño is most definitely not over six feet tall and could possibly be 5'11". Yes, you can be a short goalkeeper and become a professional, but there is a reason why there are more goalkeepers taller than six feet instead of shorter.

Additionally, Castaño does not display the explosiveness you'd like to see from a short goalkeeper. In the 3-0 loss to Pittsburgh, he concedes three goals that all could have been saved had he had more explosiveness in his spring.

On the opening laser, he can only rotate for the shot he is clearly unprepared for. Notice how his right leg is receiving much more spring than his left. His left knee doesn't move that far vertically and the right leg is recoiling more from the power. The overpowering motion from his back leg gives Castaño's body movement a teeter effect (as seen with how high his right left comes off the ground). The movement is similar to goalkeeping great Oliver Kahn, although not unique to the German, but Kahn pushed off equally with each foot to create the needed lift that comes with getting his body so parallel to the ground. (I wrote more about Kahn's technique here.) The next two goals are within Castaño's grasp but the dive doesn't come from a bigger issue.

I have not been quiet on my distaste of Howard's wide stance and Castaño gives us another example why it's not a good idea. His set position, one that is routinely slow and late to occur, is employing a wide stance that does not allow him to step towards the ball when it is shot unless he rearranges his feet, which happened on the first goal when he stepped away from the ball with his lead foot.

It's a huge jump to get set and when he finally does, the ball is half way to him and his feet are too wide for him to step towards the ball. All he can do is roll backwards, which is what he does. If he is in time with the shot and in a position to actually move towards the ball, he can make the save instead of stare at the ball hitting the net. A very similar situation happens on the next goal.

There's more to say about Castaño. His wide stance kills his lateral movement and his post-to-post time is slow. He opens up his five-hole too much. (He's megged in the Wilmington game, video above, as well as Richmond fairly easily.) He is on his heels far too often. His 1v1 approach is wild and not intended to play percentages while utilizing some hybrid of a crab stance while he waits for players to get closer (see red card in Wilmington game). He's not particularly great in the air. He also is very reluctant to use his right foot for distribution.

Conclusion

Cody Cropper has shown us how hard it is to develop with bad mechanics. Can it be done? Sure, but it's not likely. For Castaño to continue to grow, he needs to revamp his entire approach to the game. His time with the USYNT means nothing. Several goalkeepers have gone through the USYNT scene only to amount to journeymen backups and that's the path Castaño is on if something doesn't change soon. While twenty sounds young, he has been playing a certain way for some time now. He is becoming less moldable and some of his peers - sophomores in college - are already ahead of him.

Ethan Horvath Scouting Report

Cover photo from Molde FK

The songs are from post-hardcore quintet mewithoutYou ("All Circles") and the midwest emo band Good Luck ("Significant Day") because we need a little more variety in our highlight videos than inane techno music.

The video includes some really good saves, some goals he couldn't do anything on, and some goals he definitely wasn't at his best. Most highlight videos include save after save but you can really tell just how good a goalkeeper is by the type of goals they concede. Not to mention, if you search "Ethan Horvath" on YouTube, the top results are people either talking about Horvath, Horvath getting scored on, or some kid playing piano. So it's intentionally not a highlight video. It's a survey what type of goalkeeper the twenty year old is.

Strengths

Enough can't be said about his technique and mechanics. He clearly has been sculpted as a goalkeeper and the results are someone who can play in Europa League as essentially a young sophomore in college. His stance is typically very even and his jumpset is impeccable. It is because of his sound mechanics that he can overcome his average athleticism to make an extended save. He is set in time with the shot and can move his body in the most optimal way to cover ground. Additionally, he's never trying to force a play. Instead, he is trusts his skills to time the play and react as necessary. So he'll sit back on his line waiting to make a save, like Brad Guzan often does. Even in 1v1 situations, he'll still play very passive. He won't rush out there trying to solve it with brashness. He's calm, playing high percentage areas like a specifically placed wall, instead of a flaming car from 2 Fast 2 Furious. 

It should also be noted that he shows the correct mindset and poise to be playing at such a high level, as much as you can tell watching video. He never looks out of depth or beaten; he looks like he really loves the competition and embraces it. There have been a number of young goalkeepers that come up early only to look overwhelmed, especially after giving up a poor goal. Horvath, on the other hand, looks similar whether he made a great save or slipped up on the play. And looking at his path taken to where he is today, it makes sense.

Weaknesses

The biggest weaknesses are clearly his lack of athleticism and reactions. He's not a Bill Hamid or Jon Busch. His top saves will almost all be extension saves. That's not saying he won't have any reaction saves (there's one that opens the video) but it's just not going to happen as often. Similarly, his lateral movement and post-to-post time is relatively slow. I think this has more to do with his body frame and what his focus has been as a goalkeeper up to now. Clearly he has a goalkeeper coach, not a goalkeeper trainer. If he had a trainer, he would be a quicker and stronger athlete but would have spent less time focusing on being a good goalkeeper. I'd still like to see a little more spring in his lead diving foot. Right now, his lead foot is more of a prop to rotate power generated from his back leg as opposed to giving us a nice Oliver Kahn-explosive dive. Several of his dives he doesn't get the elevation or power needed to cover the frame as much as he should.

Outlook

If there was a US goalkeeper I would compare him to it would be Brad Friedel. I know, I know, I don't want to Earl Edwards him - and I'm not - but he has the frame and approach that Friedel had. Both tall and lanky, they loved to let the game come to them and then respond, as if to say "Let's see the best you can do but I'm not worried about it." Friedel was never the most agile of goalkeepers but as someone who was playing in the EPL at 42, he clearly had some thought behind his play. Horvath is in a great position to grow as a goalkeeper. Like I said earlier, he has the mechanics that he can build off of and like David de Gea did, he can up his athleticism still. I'm not penning him down as a definite World Cup starter, but when he's compared to his peers he's noticeably ahead of them.

Bill Hamid: Outstanding or Overrated?

For most USMNT fans, Bill Hamid is expected to take over after the Guzan/Howard dust clears. Whether that means he’d start in the 2018 World Cup (at age 27) or the 2022 World Cup (31), the assumption right now is that he’ll get to at least one of those. Last Top 100, I rated DC United backup Andrew Dykstra over Hamid and some people were not happy. I realize Hamid will eventually surpass Dykstra but for Hamid, it’s been a great-save-weak-goal pattern this year. Let’s look at three tendencies that are holding Hamid back.

 

1v1 Technique

Hamid uses the starfish approach for 1v1 situations. There are many people who are advocates of this technique, most notably Tim Howard, who has integrated this approach into his repertoire. The problems that arise with the starfish shape are the massive gaps in between the arms and thighs (one on each side) as well as the gaping five-hole. The hands and arms are not guarding high percentage areas and are simply being thrown into the air. Additionally, Hamid uses it so aggressively that his feet end up jutting out so far forward, causing him to lean back instead of making his body go out wider. It turns it into more of a standing tackle than a sliding one. To compare, German legend Manuel Neuer does something similar but his body shape is more upright as well as having one knee to protect the five-hole.

Here’s a great 1v1 save by Hamid that put him in the running for MLS Save of the Week while using the starfish technique.

hamid2.gif

In this particular save, he times the shot well, a large reason of why he makes the save. Once the shooter connects with the ball, Hamid is exploding out into his shape. However, he is never truly set and the run-and-gun approach is only fitting for this specific of shot. If the shooter goes a little higher, he can slip it through the thigh-and-arm gap. Or if he shoots closer it, he can split Hamid’s legs (see below). Or if he hesitates his shot with another touch, Hamid is left in the dust, which is exactly what happens against New York City this last week.

hamid3.gif

Whenever there is a young prospect, media and fans are quick to give them a pass whenever plays don’t go their way. “There’s nothing the goalkeeper could do about that.” Well actually there’s a lot the goalkeeper could have done here. First off, he could have not gone to ground. Poku is too far out and at such an angle that Hamid doesn't need to go straight to ground. Secondly, Hamid is really running the risk of a red card with his cleats up slide, specifically his left foot. Because of him leading with his foot, we have another problem: Hamid’s body shape is not ideal. Hamid incorporates the rarely seen sit-and-scoot approach because he is too aggressive with his feet here. The motion pencils his body and as Poku starts to round Hamid, Hamid is not long enough to cover the goal mouth.

Sit-n-scoot

Sit-n-scoot

Hamid is trying to make a foot save on a shot that doesn’t happen. Later, Hamid finds himself against Poku and is exposed yet again by getting his legs split by the shot. The ball slips through Hamid's legs because of his excessively wide stance. (A closer look at the shot can be found here.)

Are these situation against Poku a difficult situation? Yes. Does Hamid help himself out as much as possible? No. He is overusing one technique for different situations. 1v1s should not be approached as a “one size fits all” mindset. Sometimes you must stay on your feet. Sometimes you need to go to ground. And then there are factors about body shape. Going back to the save of the week nominee, it’s a great save. There is no doubt that he stopped a goal scoring opportunity against Montreal. However his 1v1 approach is not something you would teach a young goalkeeper to do and definitely not at the quantity he does. It has plagued his game since day one and while it has gotten better, it still needs improvement.

 

Confusing Body Shape

We already saw examples of odd body motion choices by Hamid on 1v1 situation, but his standing shape can be equally confounding.

The point of the video is not to show if Hamid could have or couldn’t have saved the shot. David Villa is curling a shot from inside the 18. Okay, we get it, he’s really good and it’s a goal. Instead, let’s focus on Hamid’s form. He’s a little behind the shot and then he takes an incredibly awkward and confusing next step.

As the shot is taken, Hamid is not set

As the shot is taken, Hamid is not set

Hamid's awkward first step

Hamid's awkward first step

Again, we’re not looking to see if Hamid could save the shot. If he could have I wouldn't be writing this right now. However, Hamid’s body shape and motion are far from ideal. A shot from three yards wide of his body and Hamid immediately goes for a foot save? Outside of a shot being hit right at his foot, there is no productive motion Hamid can make with this step. It is too far from his foot to save and he also can’t dive out because his of his egregious first step. We see the labor of his fruits as he can only spin backwards after the shot.

Here’s another play against New England where we see poor technique.

Hamid’s jump set is so wide his only movement he can make is backwards. You can see the strain on Hamid’s shoes as all his weight is on the outside of his foot, making it impossible for him to step towards any shot that’s away from him. Once again, this is less about if he could have made this particular save and more about analyzing his technique. Sure, he can't save that shot but if it's within reach he still cannot truly reach it because of his stance.

 

Savazos Over Hand Strength

Savazo - (n) - A great save stopping a golazo.

We’ve all seen the ridiculous saves. Hamid criminally has a 76 in reflexes and a 74 in diving in FIFA 15. A 90 for both would be more accurate. He has the spring and the explosiveness to get a shot most goalkeepers would just watch sail into the net. But twice this year (first and second) we’ve seen Hamid struggle with shots hit with pace that were well within his grasp. Both times, Hamid is caught between looking to catch and wanting to parry away and both times the result is a generous rebound for the opposition. There’s not a ton to say or show on these. He either needs to corral them, which is preferred, or get them out of danger.

 

Moving Forward

Hamid is receiving an anti-Steve Clark season in terms of perception and laud. Both of the two goalkeepers have made highlight reel save after save but given up less than impressive goals along the way. Unfortunately for Clark, the media is equally unimpressed by him as they are enamored by Hamid. Hamid is 25 in November and people have been comparing him to Tim Howard for years now. But Howard, at this time in his career, had started for Manchester United about thirty times. (Manchester United was a very good team.)

Players are different and Howard had his struggles overseas, but it’s late in Hamid’s career to be making these mistakes if he truly is looking to play at a higher league and start for the US. He’s a fine MLS goalkeeper, one definitely contributing to DC United’s season, but if he wants to be something more he needs to hone in his mechanics. Hamid sits middle of the pack in MLS goalkeepers because the ones ahead of him have been playing great. Nick Rimando is still going strong. David Ousted is probably going to win Goalkeeper of the Year. Stefan Frei and Luis Robles are having great seasons. Even DC United Andrew Dykstra had the best game of any goalkeeper this year. If Hamid is really supposed to be the best goalkeeper in the league, and the eventual starter for the US Men’s National Team, he can’t be having these hiccups every other week.